Excerpt
									What Terrorists Want
									One
    What is Terrorism?
    Terror is nothing else than justice, prompt, secure and inflexible.1
    —Robespierre, 1794
    Today our nation saw evil, the very worst of human nature.
    —George W. Bush, September 11, 2001
    The best that one can say of these people is that they are morally  depraved. They champion falsehood, support the butcher against the victim,  the oppressor against the innocent child.
    —Osama bin Laden, October 7, 2001
    Like pornography, we know terrorism when we see it. Or do we? We know we  don’t like it. In fact, the only universally accepted attribute of the  term “terrorism” is that it is pejorative. Terrorism is something the bad  guys do. The term itself has been bandied about so much that it has  practically lost all meaning. A casual glance at newspapers reveals  currency speculation being labeled “economic terrorism,” domestic violence  as “domestic terrorism”; crank telephone calls have even been labeled  “telephone terrorism.” If you can pin the label “terrorist” on your  opponent, you have gone a long way toward winning the public relations  aspect of any conflict.
    Even terrorists don’t like the label. An al-Qaeda statement put it this  way: “When the victim tries to seek justice, he is described as a  terrorist.”2 Many prefer to redefine the term first. In Osama bin Laden’s  words, “If killing those who kill our sons is terrorism, then let history  be witness that we are terrorists.”3 On another occasion, when asked to  respond to media claims that he was a terrorist, he replied, “There is an  Arabic proverb that says, she accused me of having her malady and then  snuck away.”4 Other terrorist leaders have taken a similar perspective.  Abimael Guzmán, the Peruvian academic turned leader   of the Maoist Shining Path, declared, “They claim we’re terrorists. I  would like to give the following answer so that everyone can think about  it: has it or has it not been Yankee imperialism and particularly Reagan  who has branded all revolutionary movements as terrorists, yes or no? This  is how they attempt to discredit and isolate us in order to crush us.”5  Shamil Basayev, the Chechen leader responsible for the Beslan school  siege, among other exploits, declared, “Okay. So, I’m a terrorist. But  what would you call them? If they are keepers of constitutional order, if  they are anti-terrorists, then I spit on all these agreements and nice  words.”6
    Terrorism simply means deliberately and violently targeting civilians for  political purposes. It has seven crucial characteristics. First, a  terrorist act is politically inspired. If not, then it is simply a crime.  After the May 13, 2003, Riyadh bombings, Secretary of State Colin Powell  declared, “We should not try to cloak their . . . criminal activity, their  murderous activity, in any trappings of political purpose. They are  terrorists.”7 In point of fact, it is precisely because they did have a  political purpose that they were, indeed, terrorists.
    Second, if an act does not involve violence or the threat of violence, it  is not terrorism. The term “cyberterrorism” is not a useful one. The  English lexicon is broad enough to provide a term for the sabotage of our  IT facilities without reverting to such language.
    Third, the point of terrorism is not to defeat the enemy but to send a  message. Writing of the September 11 attacks, an al-Qaeda spokesman  declared, “It rang the bells of restoring Arab and Islamic glory.”8
    Fourth, the act and the victim usually have symbolic significance. Bin  Laden referred to the Twin Towers as “icons” of America’s “military and  economic power.”9 The shock value of the act is enormously enhanced by the  symbolism of the target. The whole point is for the psychological impact  to be greater than the actual physical act. Terrorism is indeed a weapon  of the weak. Terrorist movements are invariably both outmanned and  outgunned by their opponents, so they employ such tactics in an effort to  gain more attention than any objective assessment of their capabilities  would suggest that they warrant.
    Fifth—and this is a controversial point—terrorism is the act of substate  groups, not states. This is not to argue that states do not use   terrorism as an instrument of foreign policy. We know they do. Many  states, such as Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Libya, have sponsored terrorism  abroad because they did not want to incur the risk of overtly attacking  more powerful countries. Great powers have supported terrorist groups  abroad as a way of engaging in proxy warfare or covertly bringing about  internal change in difficult countries without openly displaying their  strength. Nor do I wish to argue that states refrain from action that is  the moral equivalent of terrorism. We know they don’t. The Allied bombing  campaign in World War II, culminating in the bombing of Hiroshima and  Nagasaki, was a deliberate effort to target civilian populations in order  to force the hand of their government. The policy of collective punishment  visited on communities that produce terrorists is another example of  targeting civilians to achieve a political purpose. Nevertheless, if we  want to have any analytical clarity in   understanding the behavior of terrorist groups, we must understand them as  substate actors rather than states.
    A sixth characteristic of terrorism is that the victim of the violence and  the audience the terrorists are trying to reach are not the same. Victims  are used as a means of altering the behavior of a larger audience, usually  a government. Victims are chosen either at random or   as representative of some larger group. Individual victims are  interchangeable. The identities of the people traveling on a bus in Tel  Aviv or a train in Madrid, dancing in Bali or bond trading in New York,  were of no consequence to those who killed them. They were being used to  influence others. This is different from most other forms of political  violence, in which security forces or state representatives are targeted  in an effort to reduce the strength of an opponent.
    The final and most important defining characteristic of terrorism is the  deliberate targeting of civilians. This is what sets terrorism apart from  other forms of political violence, even the most proximate form, guerrilla  warfare. Terrorists have elevated practices that are normally seen as the  excesses of warfare to routine practice, striking noncombatants not as an  unintended side effect but as deliberate strategy. They insist that those  who pay taxes to a government are responsible for their actions whether  they are Russians or Americans. Basayev declared all Russians fair game  because “They pay taxes. They give approval in word and in deed. They are  all responsible.”10 Bin Laden similarly said of Americans, “He is the  enemy of ours whether he fights us directly or merely pays his taxes.”11
    Terrorists, Guerrillas, and Freedom Fighters
    It goes without saying that in the very messy worlds of violence and  politics actions don’t always fit neatly into categories. Guerrillas  occasionally target civilians, and terrorists occasionally target security  forces. But if the primary tactic of an organization is deliberately to  target civilians, it deserves to be called a terrorist group, irrespective  of the political context in which it operates or the legitimacy of the  goals it seeks to achieve. There are, of course, other differences between  guerillas and terrorists. Guerrillas are an irregular army fighting the  regular forces of the state. They conduct themselves along military lines  and generally have large numbers of adherents, which permit them to launch  quasi-military operations. Their goal is the military defeat of the enemy.  Terrorists, by contrast, rarely have illusions about their ability to  inflict military defeat on the enemy. Rather, they seek either to cause  the enemy to overreact and thereby permit them to recruit large numbers of  followers so that they can launch a guerrilla campaign, or to have such a  psychological or economic impact on the enemy that it will withdraw of its  own accord. Bin Laden called this the “bleed-until-bankruptcy plan.”12
    It is the means employed and not the ends pursued, nor the political  context in which a group operates, that determines whether or not a group  is a terrorist group.
    In his famous 1974 speech to the United Nations renouncing   terrorism, Yasser Arafat, chairman of the Palestinian Liberation  Organization and founder of its militant wing, al-Fatah, declared, “The  difference between the revolutionary and the terrorist lies in the reason  for which each fights. For whoever stands by a just cause and fights for  the freedom and liberation of his land . . . cannot possibly be called  terrorist.”13 A great many people, including several U.S. presidents, have  shared this view. Indeed, the main reason international cooperation  against terrorism has been so anemic over the past thirty-odd years is  precisely because the pejorative power of the term is such that nobody has  wanted to pin the label on a group fighting for what are considered  legitimate goals. President Ronald Reagan shared the goal of the  Nicaraguan Contras to overthrow the Marxist Sandinista government, so he  called them “the moral equivalent of our Founding Fathers.”14 Our European  allies saw the Contras as a violent and unrepresentative group attempting  to subvert a popular government and considered them terrorists. In fact,  the legitimacy of the goals being sought is irrelevant. Many terrorist  groups, and especially those that have lasted the longest, the  ethnonationalist groups, have been fighting for goals that many share and  that may even be just. But if they deliberately kill civilians to achieve  that goal, they are terrorists.
    Bin Laden has only a slightly different perspective. He thinks that there  is good terrorism and bad terrorism:
    Terrorism can be commendable and it can be reprehensible. Terrifying an  innocent person and terrorizing them is objectionable and unjust, also  unjustly terrorizing people is not right. Whereas terrorizing oppressors  and criminals and thieves and robbers is necessary for the safety of  people and for the protection of their property. . . . The terrorism we  practice is of the commendable kind for it is directed at the tyrants and  the aggressors and the enemies of Allah, the tyrants, the traitors who  commit acts of treason against their own countries and their own faith and  their own prophet and their own nation. Terrorizing those and punishing  them are necessary measures to straighten things and to make them right.15
    Bin Laden evidently believes that terrorism is justified if it is used  against those who are unjust, whereas it is unjustified if used against  the innocent. His concept of innocent as seen above, however, is an  idiosyncratic one. This is a variant on the widely held position that the  ends being sought determine whether or not an act is a terrorist act.
    Another popular perspective is that an action is terrorist only if it  takes place in a democratic state that permits peaceful forms of  opposition. Liberal intellectuals made this distinction in reaction to the  African National Congress (ANC) in South Africa. Conor Cruise O’Brien and  others wanted to argue that members of the Irish Re-  publican Army (IRA) in Northern Ireland were terrorists when they planted  bombs in trash cans in Belfast in the 1970s, as they had a democratic  alternative to voice their opposition to the state. But the ANC, when it  planted bombs in trash cans in Johannesburg in the 1980s, was not a  terrorist group because it had no means of political opposition available.  This perspective implies that members of the Basque nationalist group  Euskadi ta Askatasuna (ETA) were not terrorists when they planted bombs  and murdered tourists under the Franco regime but became terrorists when  they planted bombs and murdered tourists under the democratic government  of Spain. This argument is hardly compelling. The political context in  which an act takes place can affect our normative evaluation of the  act—the degree to which we might think it morally justified or morally  reprehensible—but it does not alter the fact that it is a terrorist act.
    Perhaps the most difficult case to make is that of the ANC in South  Africa. If ever a group could legitimately claim to have resorted to force  only as a last resort, it is the ANC. Founded in 1912, for the first fifty  years the movement treated nonviolence as a core principle. In 1961,  however, with all forms of political organization closed to it, Nelson  Mandela was authorized to create a separate military organization,  Umkhonto we Sizwe (MK). In his autobiography Mandela describes the  strategy session as the movement examined the options available to them:
    We considered four types of violent activities: sabotage, guerrilla  warfare, terrorism and open revolution. For a small and fledgling army,  open revolution was inconceivable. Terrorism inevitably reflected poorly  on those who used it, undermining any public support it might otherwise  garner. Guerrilla warfare was a possibility, but since the ANC had been  reluctant to embrace violence at all, it made sense to start with the form  of violence that inflicted the least harm against individuals: sabotage.16
    These fine distinctions were lost on the court in Rivonia that convicted  Mandela and most of the ANC leadership in 1964 and sentenced them to life  imprisonment. For the next twenty years an increasingly repressive white  minority state denied the most basic political rights to the majority  black population.
    An uprising in Soweto was defeated, as was an MK guerrilla campaign  launched from surrounding states. In 1985, the government declared a state  of emergency, which was followed within three weeks by thirteen terrorist  bombings in major downtown areas. Reasonable people can differ on whether  or not the terrorism of the ANC was justified, given the legitimacy of the  goals it sought and the reprehensible nature of the government it faced.  The violent campaign of the ANC in the early and mid-1980s, however, was  indisputably a terrorist campaign. Unless and until we are willing to  label a group whose ends we believe to be just a terrorist group, if it  deliberately targets civilians in order to achieve those ends, we are  never going to be able to forge effective international cooperation  against terrorism.
    This same confusion between ends and means is what has given the rather  silly adage that “one man’s freedom fighter is another man’s terrorist”  such a long life. Most terrorists consider themselves freedom fighters.  Bin Laden told the American people, “We fight because we are free men who  don’t sleep under oppression. We want to restore freedom to our nation.”17  Shamil Basayev said something quite similar: “For me, it’s first and  foremost a struggle for freedom. If I’m not a free man, I can’t live in my  faith. I need to be a free man. Freedom is primary.”18 The freedom for  which they fight, however, is often an abstract concept. It means  political freedom rather than conceding to others the right of freedom  from fear, or freedom from random violence, as terrorists exploit  civilians’ fear to further their ends. Whether they are fighting for  freedom from repression or freedom to impose a repressive theocracy, to  suggest that a freedom fighter cannot be a terrorist is to confuse ends  and means. The fact that terrorists may claim to be freedom fighters does  not mean that we should concede the point to them, just as we should not  concede the point that all citizens of a democracy are legitimate targets  because they have the option of changing their government and have not  done so and are therefore responsible for their government’s actions.        
    It is often claimed, and not without reason, that history is written by  the winners, so that a victorious terrorist becomes a statesman and a  failed terrorist remains a terrorist. Terrorists with whom I have spoken  invariably invoke Nelson Mandela and Menachem Begin as evidence that  someone considered a terrorist today can be considered a statesman  tomorrow. (In the past they also used to invoke Robert Mugabe, but less so  now.) Nelson Mandela was for a long time described as a terrorist not only  by the South African government but also by our own, as well as by many  academics. In fact, Mandela led a campaign of sabotage, not terrorism.  Menachem Begin, however, is a different story. Begin led the Irgun from  1943 until its dissolution in 1948. The Irgun was an illegal Jewish  right-wing movement made up of revisionist Zionists. They attacked both  Arabs and British in an effort to establish a Jewish state on both sides  of the River Jordan. In 1938, the Irgun exploded land mines in an Arab  fruit market in Haifa, killing 74 people. More famously, in 1946, it blew  up the King David Hotel in Jerusalem, killing 91 people. In 1948, the  Irgun and its offshoot the Stern Gang attacked the Arab village of Deir  Yassin and killed 254 of the inhabitants. Both the Irgun and the Stern  Gang were soon absorbed into the fledgling Israeli Army on the expiration  of the British mandate in 1948. Notwithstanding this past, Menachem Begin  served as prime minister of Israel from 1977 to 1983 and shared the Nobel  Peace Prize with Anwar Sadat in 1978. In truth, Begin was a terrorist in  the 1940s and a statesman in the 1970s.
    So a terrorist is neither a freedom fighter nor a guerrilla. A terrorist  is a terrorist, no matter whether or not you like the goal s/he is trying  to achieve, no matter whether or not you like the government s/he is  trying to change.
    Types of terrorism
    Today the term “terrorist” connotes the image of a radical Islamic  fundamentalist from the Middle East. Thirty years ago, the term conjured  up images of atheistic young European Communists. At that time terrorists  from Sri Lanka to Northern Ireland were also fighting for traditional  goals, such as territorial control over a homeland. Aside from their  willingness to visit violence on civilians to achieve their objectives,  all these groups shared one characteristic: they were the weaker party in  an asymmetrical conflict. Terrorism is the weapon of those who want to  effect change, and to do so quickly, but lack the numbers either to  prevail in a democratic system or to launch a viable military campaign.
    Terrorism has been practiced by the Right as well as by the Left, by  atheists, agnostics, and religious millenarians, by Christians, Jews,  Muslims, Hindus, and members of most other religions. It has taken place  in rich countries and poor, under authoritarian regimes and democratic  governments. Terrorists’ objectives range from Maoist revolution in Peru  and Nepal to bringing about the apocalypse in Japan; from the destruction  of capitalism in Europe to the destruction of the state of Israel; from  the expulsion of U.S. influence from the Middle East to the return of the  caliphate; from the expulsion of Russia from Chechnya and Britain from  Northern Ireland to creating homelands for Kurds, Tamils, Sikhs, and  Basques. Any attempt to reduce all of them to one simplified notion of  terrorism will only cloud our understanding.
    Social revolutionary movements, such as the Italian Red Brigades, the  German Red Army Faction, the Japanese Red Army, and the French Action  Directe, and millenarian movements, such as the Japanese Aum Shinrikyo,  have arisen primarily in advanced industrialized countries. Maoist  movements (such as the Peruvian Shining Path, the Nepalese Communist  Party, and the New People’s Army in the Philippines) have emerged in the  developing world. Radical religious movements have so far emerged  primarily in the Middle East and East Asia (such as Hezbollah in Lebanon  and the Abu Sayyaf Group in the Philippines), while ethnonationalist  movements have occurred all over the world from India to Ireland.
    In spite of the dizzying array of terrorist movements, the two key  variables for understanding all terrorist groups are the nature of the  goals they seek and their relationship to the community they claim to  represent (see Figure 1). This simple matrix enables us to organize the  ever-growing and quite disparate set of terrorist movements, but it will  also prove essential later in understanding how terrorist groups terminate  their campaigns and how they can most effectively be countered.
    Goals of Terrorist Groups
    The goals of all terrorist groups fall into one of two categories:  temporal and transformational. By temporal I mean political goals that can  be met without overthrowing the political system. An independent homeland  for Sikhs, Tamils, Chechens, and Basques qualifies, as do the secession of  Kashmir from India and of Northern Ireland from the United Kingdom. This  is not to trivialize these aspirations nor to underestimate the difficulty  of conceding them. The United States fought a bitter and bloody civil war  at a cost of 600,000 lives on the issue of secession. Nevertheless, these  goals could be won or lost without overthrowing the fundamental balance of  power. They are also issues on which compromise could be negotiated,  substituting local autonomy for complete independence, for example.
    On the other hand, a transformational goal, by its nature, is not subject  to negotiation, and its satisfaction would require the complete  destruction of the regional state system. The social revolutionary  movements in Europe in the 1970s sought the destruction of capitalism. The  desire to replace the states of the contemporary Middle East with the  caliphate, the era of Islam’s ascendancy from the death of Muhammad until  the thirteenth century, is similar in scale. Of course, the declared  policy of these movements, much like the stated policy of many  governments, should not always be taken at face value. It is essential to  understand their degree of commitment to declared goals and whether or not  they might actually be motivated by more traditional political aspirations.
    The second variable is the relationship of a movement to the community it  claims to represent. Some movements are quite isolated from their  communities. Those that are have been easiest to defeat. Lacking financial  support, they have often been forced to engage in criminal activity to  fund their operations, and this in turn exposes them to capture. They have  been most vulnerable to defections and internal splits and have proven  easiest to counter with traditional security measures. Groups in this  category, such as the left-wing extremists 17 November in Greece and GRAPO  in Spain, have been able to inflict only limited damage on their enemies.
    Far more dangerous are the groups that have close ties in the community  they claim to represent. This is the sea in which Mao’s fish swim. In a  great many instances the broader communities share the aspirations of the  terrorist groups even if they don’t always approve of their means of  achieving these objectives. A terrorist group can survive and thrive in  this kind of complicit society. Though the broader population will not  themselves engage in terrorism or even openly approve of it, they will not  turn the terrorists in. They will look the other way and provide crucial,  albeit often passive, support. When the authorities come looking, these  terrorists are simply absorbed into the community. When the authorities  respond harshly to terrorist acts, willing new recruits emerge. These  kinds of groups can last indefinitely, but, handled properly, the  community can serve as a source of restraint. Terrorist groups with  community support can also turn into broad-based insurrectionist movements  or, given the right conditions, into political movements.
    the Rationality of Terrorism
    We often think of terrorists as crazies. How can killing tourists at   a shrine in Luxor or airline passengers in the United States possibly help  the cause of Islamic fundamentalism? How can killing children in Beslan,  shoppers in London, or tourists in Spain advance the cause of Chechen,  Irish, or Basque nationalism? Terrorists must be deranged psychopaths.  Their actions seem to make no sense.
    But terrorists, by and large, are not insane at all. Their primary shared  characteristic is their normalcy, insofar as we understand the term.  Psychological studies of terrorists are virtually unanimous on this  point.20 The British journalist Peter Taylor remembers asking a young  prisoner from Derry, who was serving a life sentence for murder, what an  IRA man was doing reading Tolstoy and Hardy. The prisoner replied,  “Because an IRA man’s normal like everyone else.” When Taylor pointed out  that normal people did not go around killing people, the prisoner replied  that normal people elsewhere did not live in Northern Ireland.21 There  are, of course, psychopaths to be found in many terrorist groups, as in  many organizations in which violence is sanctioned. But there are not  nearly as many psychopaths in terrorist groups as one might imagine. Most  organizations consider them a liability and quite deliberately try to  select them out.22 This holds true across different types of groups, from  ethnonationalists to religious fundamentalists.
    Historically, terrorists have been very conservative in their choice of  tactics. The most common terrorist act is a bombing, and it is not hard to  see why. It is cheap. It is easy to get away from the scene of the attack.  Moreover, it is dramatic and often indiscriminate. The notion that  terrorists are mad has been advanced by the increasing use of suicide  terrorism. But from an organizational point of view, suicide attacks are  very rational, indeed economical. In the words of Dr. Ayman al-Zawahiri,  bin Laden’s second in command, “The method of martyrdom operation is the  most successful way of inflicting damage against the opponent and least  costly to the mujahedin in terms of casualties.”23 It is also, of course,  more effective.24
    Even if suicide terrorism makes sense from an organizational point of  view, it seems insane from an individual point of view. But the  organizations that employ the tactic have more volunteers than they need.  They deliberately do not accept volunteers they consider depressed or  suicidal. In the words of the Palestinian Fayez Jaber, an al-Aqsa  commander who trained suicide bombers, “There are certain criteria that we  observe. People with mental or psychological problems or personal family  problems—I cannot allow myself to send such people. . . . A person has to  be a fully mature person, an adult, a sane person, and of course, not less  than 18 years of age and fully aware of what he is about to carry out.”25  Those who become martyrs appear to do so out of a combination of motives:  anger, humiliation, a desire for revenge, commitment to their comrades and  their cause, and a desire to attain glory—in other words, for reasons no  more irrational than those of anyone prepared to give his life for a  cause.26
    Terrorists’ behavior has long seemed senseless to onlookers. The actions  of the famous medieval sect the Assassins seemed so incomprehensible to  others that for centuries it was believed that they were high on hashish  when they undertook their suicide operations. It now appears that they  were intoxicated only by their own ideology.27